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El Niño likely to develop this summer, says scientists

El Nino likely to develop this summer
This world map shows sea surface temperature anomalies during one of the strongest El Nino events on record in 2016. The red areas indicate warmer-than-average ocean temperatures, while blue areas represent cooler-than-average temperatures. Credit: NOAA

NOAA's Climate Prediction Center has issued an El Niño Watch this morning as part of its April ENSO outlook.

A watch is issued when conditions are favorable for the development of El Niño within the next six months. While we are still in an ENSO-neutral phase—when no El Niño or La Nina is present—there is a 62% chance El Niño will develop sometime between May and July. This comes after nearly two continuous years of a La Nina.

El Niño: What it is and why it matters

The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (or ENSO) is a climate pattern defined by and precipitation departures from normal across the equatorial Pacific Ocean that can influence weather and climate patterns across the U.S. and around the world.

El Niño is the warm phase of ENSO when ocean temperatures are warmer and precipitation is greater than normal in the area spanning the central to eastern Pacific Ocean.

NOAA scientists will continue to monitor the potential development of El Niño and will issue the next monthly update on May 11, 2023.

Provided by NOAA Headquarters

Citation: El Niño likely to develop this summer, says scientists (2023, April 14) retrieved 7 March 2024 from https://phys.org/news/2023-04-el-nio-summer-scientists.html
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